Nationwide Tracking Poll November 6, 2012
November 6, 2012
Nationwide Popular Vote All Tied — 47%-47%; 5-Way Race Is Obama 47%, Romney 46%, Johnson 2%, Stein 1%”
The new three-day rolling average of 1,041 U.S. likely voters, conducted online from Saturday (November 03) through Monday (November 05), has a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1 percentage points. Pollster John Zogby: “This tie has a certain destiny to it. Neither candidate has been able to hold to any lead for any length of time and this is more about where the country is than even about the candidates. Each candidate is doing reasonably well with his own base, as I have reported right along.
I think that fear of the ‘other’ has as much to do with solidifying their base as enthusiasm for the candidates. I am including the minor candidates because each in his or her own way is weighing in on the national vote. The popular vote is very important for either candidate to declare legitimacy of victory. What concerns me is whether or not the ‘defeated’ side will feel empowered to concede.”
Florida Tied at 48%-48%, Obama Up 7 in Ohio — 51%-44%; Race Tightens In Virginia -11% of Independents Still Undecided